{"id":374461,"date":"2024-07-01T11:04:08","date_gmt":"2024-07-01T09:04:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/2024\/07\/01\/rassemblement-national-elezioni-francia\/"},"modified":"2024-07-05T11:53:10","modified_gmt":"2024-07-05T09:53:10","slug":"the-national-rally-wins-the-first-round-of-frances-legislative-elections-republican-front-to-the-test-of-unity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2024\/07\/01\/the-national-rally-wins-the-first-round-of-frances-legislative-elections-republican-front-to-the-test-of-unity\/","title":{"rendered":"The National Rally wins the first round of France’s legislative elections. Republican Front to the test of unity"},"content":{"rendered":"

Brussels – The expected<\/a> victory for the far right<\/strong> in\u00a0the first round<\/a>\u00a0of legislative elections in France arrived. The National Rally of Marine Le Pen<\/strong> and Jordan Bardella, allied with Republican President Eric Ciotti, won 33.2 percent of the vote. The Left Front trails by five percentage points at 28.1 percent, and the coalition of\u00a0President Macron, Ensemble, by more than 10 points, at 21 percent.<\/p>\n

But the record turnout, with two out of three eligible voters\u00a0going to the polls<\/strong>, is a mixed blessing for Le Pen: on the one hand, it makes the result even more significant.\u00a0On the other, given the rules of the French\u00a0electoral system, a large number of candidates qualified for the second round. Only 76 of the 577 seats up for\u00a0renewal in the National Assembly<\/strong>\u00a0were assigned\u00a0in the first round. From this perspective, the\u00a0gap between the two main camps is narrowing: National Rally (RN) candidates have been elected in\u00a039 constituencies, and those of\u00a0the New Popular Front (NFP)\u00a0in 32.<\/p>\n

Then, there are 190 constituencies where the second round will be a duel between two candidates. Of these, 67 seats are in the balance between RN and NFP. But the game will be played in as many as 306 districts<\/strong> – in 2022, there had been only 7 – in which the polls have configured a three-way\u00a0runoff<\/strong>. In five districts, four candidates secured the second round.<\/p>\n

This figure shows the extent of the uncertainty surrounding next Sunday’s vote and the possible scenarios in the National Assembly. Here —\u00a0\u00a0especially in the 244 constituencies where RN, NFP, and Ensemble will be opposed, and in the 46 where the Republicans will also have a say — will be decided if and who will achieve the 289 seats needed to obtain a majority in the French Parliament. So much so that even the projections of the most authoritative institutes this morning paint\u00a0a range of between 240 and 310 seats for Le Pen<\/strong>‘s far-right.<\/p>\n

<\/a>
NFP leaders at Place de la Republique, 30\/06\/24 (Photo by ARNAUD FINISTRE \/ AFP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Already last night, the first calls for withdrawal began: the leader of La France Insoumise, Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon<\/strong>, assured that his party – a pillar of the left-wing front – will withdraw its candidates where it came in third and where the far right is leading in the first round, securing the vote for Macron’s liberal coalition. “Not one vote will go to the RN. Wherever we come third, we will withdraw our candidate<\/strong>,” M\u00e9lenchon declared from Paris in a Place de la Republique packed with progressive supporters.<\/p>\n

\u00a0More ambiguous is the position of the governing alliance. Macron\u00a0called for a “Republican union,”<\/strong> asking his people to study each of France’s constituencies to find alliances “on a case-by-case basis” to put up\u00a0a wall against the far right. But some, including Edouard Philippe<\/strong>, leader of the center-right Horizons party, said they are willing to withdraw in favor of a left-wing candidate unless it is a candidate from La France Insoumise. The ‘Gaullist’ Republicans, those who did not follow Ciotti,\u00a0announced that they would not give its\u00a0voters any indication.<\/p>\n

On the evening of July 7, the scenarios on the horizon are diverse and uncertain in Paris. Marine Le Pen’s dauphin, Jordan Bardella, could become Prime Minister with an absolute majority of seats in the National Assembly, forcing Macron into a very uncomfortable cohabitation<\/strong>. If, on the other hand, the far right gains only a relative majority, France would risk ungovernability<\/strong>, with any RN legislative proposal at risk of being rejected by the opposition. There is a third scenario: should the calls for withdrawal by the leftist leaders and Macron hold up, the Popular Front could win a majority, even a relative one. In that case, the doors of the French government would surprisingly open to a leftist Premier<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le Pen and Republican ally Ciotti win 33.2 percent. But two out of three French voters did not vote for the extreme right: in the second round, more than 300 seats could be decided by an eventual agreement between Macron’s coalition and the New Popular Front<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7527,"featured_media":374412,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"1","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"0","show_view_counter":"0","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""},"jnews_override_counter":{"override_view_counter":"0","view_counter_number":"0","override_share_counter":"0","share_counter_number":"0","override_like_counter":"0","like_counter_number":"0","override_dislike_counter":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[25681],"tags":[25816,26261],"class_list":["post-374461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7527"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=374461"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374461\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":374592,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/374461\/revisions\/374592"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/374412"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=374461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=374461"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=374461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}