{"id":421922,"date":"2025-03-20T10:17:41","date_gmt":"2025-03-20T09:17:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/2025\/03\/20\/lagarde-crescita-debole-dazi-indebolirla\/"},"modified":"2025-03-20T12:37:27","modified_gmt":"2025-03-20T11:37:27","slug":"lagarde-eurozone-growth-weak-us-tariffs-could-weaken-it-further","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/03\/20\/lagarde-eurozone-growth-weak-us-tariffs-could-weaken-it-further\/","title":{"rendered":"Lagarde: &#8220;Eurozone growth weak; US tariffs could weaken it further&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Brussels &#8211; <strong>There will be no sustained growth in the Eurozone; on the contrary, it will be weak <\/strong>and uncertain. The specter of an <strong>open and aggressive\u00a0trade war with the United States would weaken it further,<\/strong> so any 12-star\u00a0policy reasoning must consider this. The president of the European Central Bank,<strong> Christine Lagarde<\/strong>, warns against the temptation, while understandable, to respond to the threats of US President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p>At a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.europarl.europa.eu\/committees\/en\/econ\/home\/highlights\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs<\/a>\u00a0hearing at the\u00a0European Parliament, Lagarde said her staff expects <strong>growth of 0.9 percent in 2025, 1.2 percent in 2026, and 1.3 percent in 2027<\/strong>. However, these estimates are\u00a0&#8220;<span lang=\"en-EN\">subject to considerable uncertainty, also owing to the trade policy environment.&#8221; The impact of the tariff war weighs\u00a0considerably.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"HwtZe\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The ECB&#8217;s\u00a0analysis, Lagarde tells\u00a0MEPs, suggests that\u00a0<strong>US\u00a0tariffs of 25 percent<\/strong> on EU imports &#8220;<strong>would lower euro area growth by about 0.3 percentage points<\/strong> in the first year.&#8221;\u00a0 A European response in the form of raising tariffs on US imports &#8220;would further increase this to about half a percentage point.&#8221; These considerations confirm the findings of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/03\/18\/eu-should-avoid-retaliating-to-us-tariffs-and-focus-on-new-trade-partners\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">European Parliament researchers, who already warned of\u00a0the risks of European retaliation<\/a>.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Not least, a resumption of the inflationary spiral would compound the\u00a0growth erosion. In Frankfurt, the ECB also calculated this impact. In the short term, <strong>EU retaliatory measures<\/strong> and a weaker euro exchange rate \u2013 resulting from lower US demand for European products \u2013 &#8220;<strong>could lift inflation by around half a percentage point,<\/strong>&#8221; Lagarde notes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ECB president at the European Parliament hearing: &#8216;0.9 percent growth in 2025, but tariffs could lower it by 0.3 points&#8217;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":494,"featured_media":421998,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":""},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[25705,25727],"tags":[25881,26411,26112,26152,26598,26151,25828,26107,29787],"class_list":["post-421922","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-in-the-spotlight","tag-bce-en","tag-christine-lagarde-en","tag-dazi-en","tag-bank-central-en-en","tag-eurozone-en","tag-inflation-en","tag-war-commercial-en"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/421922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/494"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=421922"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/421922\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":421968,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/421922\/revisions\/421968"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/421998"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=421922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=421922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=421922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}