{"id":436735,"date":"2025-10-02T13:00:15","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T11:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/2025\/10\/02\/eurozona-con-i-dazi-di-trump-meno-investimenti-e-meno-prestiti-bancari\/"},"modified":"2025-10-02T14:56:46","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T12:56:46","slug":"eurozone-trumps-tariffs-lead-to-fewer-investments-and-reduced-bank-lending","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/10\/02\/eurozone-trumps-tariffs-lead-to-fewer-investments-and-reduced-bank-lending\/","title":{"rendered":"Eurozone: Trump&#8217;s tariffs lead to fewer investments and reduced bank lending"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Brussels &#8211; <strong>Tariffs <\/strong>that&nbsp;US President Donald Trump imposed, regardless of how things unfold, will impact the eurozone and its economy in terms of reduced <strong>bank lending and lower investment<\/strong>, despite <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/07\/28\/eu-us-reach-tariff-deal-15-rate-and-eu-commitment-to-energy-purchases-from-the-us\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the EU-US agreement<\/a>. The <strong>European Central Bank&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/08\/07\/ecb-says-tariff-deal-is-a-step-forward-but-uncertainties-remain\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">had already warned<\/a> of the risks associated with trans-Atlantic trade tensions, pointing out that the deal may not be enough to convince markets and traders, and now that warning has been confirmed.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;&#8220;<span class=\"HwtZe\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\"><strong>We find that <\/strong>increased uncertainty about economic policies<strong> <\/strong>\u2013 stemming, among other things, from trade policy developments in the United States \u2013<strong> spills over into the euro area, by reducing lending via both loan demand and loan supply<\/strong>&#8220;, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/blog\/date\/2025\/html\/ecb.blog20251002~1b15d67f4c.en.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the ECB&#8217;s technical experts wrote in an analysis paper<\/a>&nbsp;entitled&nbsp;&#8211; &#8216;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"jCAhz\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">More uncertainty, less lending: how US policy affects firm financing in Europe,&#8217; the title of which&nbsp;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">says it all about the scenarios ahead. &#8220;<strong>High levels of uncertainty also make policy rate cuts less effective<\/strong>,&#8221; the experts warn further.<\/span><\/span><\/span>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So far, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/06\/05\/ecb-new-0-25-per-cent-cut-in-interest-rates-lagarde-defence-will-support-growth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ECB has cut interest rates eight times<\/a>, including four in 2025, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/09\/11\/inflation-forecasts-remain-unchanged-ecb-opts-for-pause-on-rates\/\">before opting for a pause<\/a>&nbsp;that is likely to continue.&nbsp;<strong>Traders do not expect a cut at the Governing Council meeting at the end of October<\/strong>, also in view of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/2025\/10\/01\/eurozone-inflation-rises-to-2-2-percent-in-september\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">increase in inflation<\/a>. In Frankfurt, on the other hand, experts&nbsp;expect a slowdown in the economy: &#8220;<span class=\"HwtZe\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">While waiting for greater clarity, <strong>firms react to heightened uncertainty about economic policy by postponing investment decisions, while banks contract credit supply<\/strong> to manage potential risks.&#8221;&nbsp;This last aspect is inherent to the credit system&#8217;s own characteristics: &#8220;when unexpected changes happen, banks give out fewer and fewer loans,&#8221; the analysis paper states.<\/span><\/span><span class=\"HwtZe\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">\u200b<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"HwtZe\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"HwtZe\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The underlying problem, getting to the point, is that &#8220;policy uncertainty \u2013 especially when coupled with financial stress \u2013 <strong>can hinder the flow of credit and slow down economic activity just when stimulus is most needed<\/strong>.&#8221; And there is no doubt that this is the time for the EU and its eurozone to invest, as highlighted by the Draghi report.&nbsp;<strong>Trump&#8217;s tariffs are thus an obstacle to European competitiveness<\/strong>, and the ECB merely confirms this yet again.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The European Central Bank warns about the contagion effects of US tariffs: &#8216;Businesses postpone investment decisions, while banks contract credit supply. Uncertainty makes policy rate cuts less effective&#8217;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":494,"featured_media":416218,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"1","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":""},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[25705],"tags":[25826,26112,26598,26752,26413,26151,25828,25882,30079],"class_list":["post-436735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-banche-en","tag-bce-en","tag-dazi-en","tag-imprese-en","tag-ue-stati-uniti-en","tag-bank-central-en-en","tag-eurozone-en","tag-investimenti-en","tag-loans-en"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/494"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=436735"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436735\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":436736,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436735\/revisions\/436736"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/416218"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=436735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=436735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eunews.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=436735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}